Investor Webinar Presentation
Released
Released
Announcement PDF
ASX RELEASE
31st July 2025
Investor Webinar Presentation: Phase 3 Update and
Probability of Success
Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals Ltd (ASX: PAR) (“Paradigm” or “the Company”), a
late-stage drug development company focused on delivering new therapies to address
unmet medical needs, advises that the investor webinar, held today, provided an update
on the Company’s global Phase 3 clinical trial (PARA_OA_012) of injectable pentosan
polysulfate sodium (iPPS) for knee osteoarthritis.
The presentation used during the webinar is now available and attached to this
announcement.
A recording of the session will be made available shortly on the Paradigm website:
https://paradigmbiopharma.com/performance-progress/#announcements
About Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals
Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals Ltd. (ASX: PAR) is a late-stage drug development
company driven by a purpose to improve patients’ health and quality of life by discovering,
developing, and delivering pharmaceutical therapies. Paradigm’s current focus is
developing iPPS for the treatment of diseases where inflammation plays a major
pathogenic role, indicating a need for the anti-inflammatory and tissue regenerative
properties of PPS, such as in osteoarthritis (phase 3).
Forward Looking Statements
This Company announcement contains forward-looking statements, including statements
regarding anticipated commencement dates or completions dates of preclinical or clinical
trials, regulatory developments, and regulatory approval. These forward-looking
statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known
and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors, many of which are beyond our
control, and which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in
the statements contained in this presentation. Readers are cautioned not to put undue
reliance on forward-looking statements.
Authorised for release by the Paradigm Board of Directors.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT:
Simon White
Director of Investor Relations
Tel: +61 404 216 467
Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals Ltd.
ABN: 94 169 346 963
Level 15, 500 Collins St, Melbourne, VIC, 3000, AUSTRALIA
Email: investorrelations@paradigmbiopharma.com
Paradigm Biopharma
PHASE 3 CLINICAL TRIAL
WEBINAR JULY 2025
DR. DONNA SKERRETT | CMO
MR PAUL RENNIE | MD
Paradigm Biopharma
JUL 2025
2
Disclaimer
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The Information should not to be relied upon for the making of any investment decision. Any investment in Paradigm is subject to a number of investment risks including the possibility of loss of capital invested and no return of income or payment of dividends.
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These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: (i) the possible delays in and the outcome of pre clinical and clinical trials, (ii) risks relating to possible partnering or other like arrangements, (iii) the potential for delays in regulatory approvals, (iv) the
unknown uptake and market penetration of any potential commercial products and (vi) other risks and uncertainties related to the Company’s prospects, assets / products and business strategy. This is particularly the case with companies such as Paradigm
which operate in the field of researching, discovering, developing and commercialising potential treatments or other therapies.
You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements that speak only as of the date hereof and Paradigm does not undertake any obligation to revise and disseminate forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances
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Paradigm will achieve its stated objectives / milestones, that its forecasts will be met or that forward looking statements will be realised - actual results and future outcomes will in all likelihood differ from those outlined herein.
Neither Paradigm nor any of its advisers, agents or employees make or give any express or implied representation, warranty or guarantee that the information contained in this presentation or otherwise supplied by or on behalf of Paradigm is complete or
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To the maximum extent permitted at law, Paradigm and all of its representatives, directors, partners, employees or professional advisers exclude all direct and indirect liability arising out of or in connection with any use or reliance of the information contained or
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restricted by law. Persons who come into possession of this presentation should observe any such restrictions as any non-compliance could contravene applicable securities laws. See “International Offer Restrictions" for more information
Paradigm Biopharma
JUL 2025
Executive Summary
Background
Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals (ASX: PAR) is a late-stage drug development company focused on
delivering new treatments for diseases with high unmet medical need. Our lead program, injectable
pentosan polysulfate sodium (iPPS), is being developed for osteoarthritis (OA), a debilitating condition
affecting millions worldwide.
To develop and commercialise first-in-class therapies for musculoskeletal diseases, targeting
inflammation, pain relief, and disease modification.
Mission
Market
potential
•
Late-stage clinical development with Phase 3 trial commenced in the US and AUS.
•
Robust clinical and real-world data supporting iPPS.
•
Addressing one of the largest unmet needs in musculoskeletal medicine.
3
Paradigm Biopharma
JUL 2025
Phase 3 OA program commencement – Site Activation, First
Participant Consent Australia
First Participant Consented in US
2025
Recent NewsFlow
New IP Acquisition – Building out Paradigm OA
portfolio.
Funding Secured to provide runway through many
significant milestones.
4
Paradigm Biopharma
Advancing
iPPS Toward a
Differentiated
OA Therapy
Robust data and
regulatory momentum
01
SAFETY & EFFICACY PROFILE
• Strong efficacy and safety shown across a broad dataset
• Durable benefits sustained to 12 months in Phase 2 studies
• Imaging and biomarker data suggest effects beyond
symptom relief
02
PHASE 2 AND REAL-WORLD EVIDENCE
• Multiple Phase 2 studies underpin Phase 3 program,
showing consistent efficacy across patient types and
timepoints
• Real-world insights from Australia's SAS program show
long-term benefits with repeat courses
03
MECHANISM OF ACTION
• Demonstrated across preclinical models and human studies
• Anti-inflammatory, cartilage-protective, and matrix-restoring
properties
• Biomarker data from Phase 2 suggests activity beyond
symptom relief
underpin a well-defined
path through Phase 3
04
OPTIMISED PHASE 3 PROGRAM
• Fast Track designation granted by FDA
• Protocol refined following extensive FDA engagement (Type
C and D meetings)
• Endpoints, statistical powering, and assessment windows
aligned with regulatory expectations
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Paradigm Biopharma
Drug
Development
Phase Success
Rates
Only about 12% of drugs entering
Phase I ultimately receive regulatory
approval, highlighting the high attrition
rate in drug development.
•
The biggest drop-off occurs in Phase
II, where just over one-third of
candidates advance, often due to
efficacy or safety issues.
•
Success rates rebound in later stages,
with over 60% of drugs in Phase III
progressing to regulatory submission.
•
Once a drug is submitted for approval,
the likelihood of approval is high
(around 86%).
6
Drug Development Phase Success Rate
86.5
Success Rate %
•
02/12/21
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2025
62.5
62
34.5
12
I - II
II - III
III - NDA
NDA - Approval
I - Approval
Phase
Source: "Benchmarking R&D success rates of leading pharmaceutical
companies" (Drug Discovery Today, 2025)
Osteoarthritis
Pivotal PH3 Trial
Paradigm Biopharma
Study
Overview
A Phase 3, Doubleblind, Placebocontrolled, Multicenter
Study to Evaluate
Treatment Effect of
Pentosan Polysulfate
Sodium Compared
with Placebo in
Participants with Knee
Osteoarthritis Pain.
Trial Type:
Phase 3
Study Drug:
Pentosan Polysulfate Sodium (PPS) - Injectable
Patient
Population:
Adults with moderate to severe knee osteoarthritis with pain
Study Centres:
Total: 65 sites
Ø Australia: 15 sites
Ø United States: 50 sites
Number of
Participants:
Enrollment goal: 466 participants
Ø Randomised 1:1 PPS to Placebo
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Paradigm Biopharma
Phase 3 Objectives
Key objectives for the Phase 3
PARA_OA_012 study
Primary Objectives
• To evaluate the treatment effect of PPS on knee pain in participants with knee OA pain. (Weekly Average ADP Day 112)
Key Secondary Objectives
• To evaluate the treatment effect of PPS on knee pain function in participants with knee OA pain. (WOMAC Day 112)
• To evaluate the effect of PPS treatment on PGIC in participants with knee OA pain. (PGIC Day 112)
• To evaluate the efficacy of PPS treatment on knee pain, function, stiffness, and overall, in participants with knee OA pain
Secondary Objectives
•
•
•
WOMAC Pain and function assessments at multiple timepoints to Day 404
IPPS effects on Rescue Medication use
Structural changes via X-Ray and MRI from baseline day 168, 404
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PARA_OA_012
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Optimised Endpoint Design and Pain Scoring
• Following FDA discussions, the primary efficacy endpoint is now
assessed 8 weeks post-final injection, aligning with recent OA and
chronic pain studies and reflecting the durable therapeutic effect of
iPPS.
• Independently scored and self reported by patient.
• Pain is assessed via daily scores recorded through a smart device and
averaged weekly to minimise day-to-day variability and ensure a more
robust signal of clinical benefit.
• A 14-day pre-dosing familiarisation period allows participants to practise
consistent reporting and ensures compliance from the outset.
• Automated daily alerts at a standardised time of day promote highquality data capture and time-aligned pain scoring.
Paradigm Biopharma. JUL 2025
PARA_OA_012
Phase 3 trial design
Follow-up Period:
52 weeks
Treatment Period:
6 weeks
Screening
PPS 2 mg/kg
N = 233*
Placebo
N = 233*
Day
1
39
First Injection
Last Inj.
56
84
112
Interim
Analysis
140
168
224
280
336
404
End of Study
Primary endpoint: Change from baseline in weekly ADP NRS pain score at Day 112.
Secondary endpoints: Function, PGIC, rescue medication, biomarkers of disease progression, including MRI & X-Ray.
*May be subject to change
11
Paradigm Biopharma. JUL 2025
PARA_OA_012 Phase 3 Site Locations by State
United States
50 sites
Australia
15 sites
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PARA_OA_012 Considerations in Evaluating Probability of Success
NRS 0-10 endpoint, average daily pain
•
What is a meaningful difference – statistical or clinical (anchor to PRO)
•
FDA recommended endpoint to ”reduce recall bias and capture day to day variability”
Magnitude of Effect
•
How does the change from baseline in pain score relate to benchmarks of clinical meaning or MCII, MCID, PRO
anchors such as PGIC
Effect size-distribution based method of meaningful difference
•
Assessment of mean difference between groups corrected for standard deviation
•
What is relationship of ES to study power, sample size, and probability of success
FDA: Analgesic Indications: Developing Drug and Biological Products — Guidance for Industry, February 2022.
PRO: Patient Reported Outcomes
MCII: Minimal Clinically Important Improvement
MCID: Minimal Clinically Important Difference
Paradigm Biopharma
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PARA_OA_005
Magnitude: NRS 0-10, absolute and %Change from Baseline
NRS
Med % CBL
4-6
7-8
iPPS
Day 53
iPPS
Day 81
-33.33
-16.67
NRS-valid and reliable measure of pain intensity
-36.67
-14.29
-8.33
-28.57
•
NRS assessed for prior 48 hours
•
Clinical MCID is one unit difference or 15%
NRS (6)
•
2-point reduction or 30% NRS anchors with
clinically important PGIC change
•
PGIC MCID is one unit difference at 3 month
(6)
•
Clinically important PGIC is much improved
and very much improved (5)
Absolute pain NRS
-1.81 (2.31)
-1.22 (2.32)
4-6
7-8
-1.61 (2.17)
-2.28 (2.63)
-1.15 (2.19)
-1.81 (2.04)
KOOS ADL
Med %CBL
4-6
7-8
35.91
26.67
37.85
29.39
26.67
26.11
PGIC mean
4.42, 87% ≥5
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Paradigm Biopharma
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PARA_OA_008
Magnitude: WOMAC,
%Change from Baseline1
iPPS
Day 56
iPPS
Day 112
Pain
-49.33*
-45.05
Function
-49.38*
-46.58*
Stiffness
-45.51
-47.45
Overall
-48.97
-46.02
1
MMRM-mixed model repeated measures
•
Sustained improvements in both pain and function
scores were observed in the iPPS twice-weekly
treatment group
•
These improvements* exceeded the Minimum
Clinically Important Improvement (MCII)
thresholds(2,3):
•
•
•
Pain reductions in the iPPS group approached the
“substantial improvement” benchmark of 50%
recommended by IMMPACT(1):
•
•
•
Pain: 17%
Function: 12%
49% reduction at Day 56
45% reduction at Day 112
Patient Global Impression of Change (PGIC) 7point scale:
•
•
•
Day 365: 3.55 (2.11) vs 2.06 (1.70), p = 0.005
Day 112: 4.07 (2.16) vs 3.10 (2.26)
Day 56: 3.93 (2.09) vs 3.15 (2.30)
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PARA_OA_012
Endpoint: Observed effect size for Pain Scores (Scale 0-10)
Time
Para_005
Para_OA_008
Pooledweighted
Day 39
0.33
0.38
0.34
Day 56
(53 for 005)
0.25
0.66
0.34
Day 112
(109 for 005)
0.20
0.46
0.30
Day 168
(165 for 005)
0.28
0.26
0.28
Study Population Considerations
• SC 2mg/kg twice weekly x 6
Patient Populations
• 005 BML 95%, KL 3-4~ 80%
• 008 BML 70%, KL 3-4 79%
Subgroup Observations
• NRS 4-6 (70%) and KL4 (28%) improved pain
responses in 005.
Effects sizes form the basis for sample size
calculations
Paradigm
Paradigm Biopharma
Biopharma
PARA_OA_012 – Probability of Success
Clinically Important response on NRS Scale
•
•
•
Sample Size: ~466 participants with moderate to severe knee OA (KL Grade 2–4), randomised 1:1
Primary Endpoint: Change from baseline in weekly average pain (NRS 0–10) at Day 112
Standard Deviation (SD): Estimated between 2.0 and 2.5 for NRS change
Effect Size (ES) and Detectable Differences
• For ES = 0.3:
• Difference between means = 0.6 (SD 2.0)
• Difference between means = 0.75 (SD 2.5)
• For ES = 0.2:
• Difference between means = 0.4 (SD 2.0)
• Difference between means = 0.5 (SD 2.5)
Clinical and Statistical Relevance
• MCID (Minimal Clinically Important Difference): ~1 point or 15% on NRS
• Power Assumptions:
• N=233 per group detects ES = 0.2 for SD 2–2.5
• Minimum observed effect size for significance at final analysis: 0.18 (N=466, p<0.024, 1-sided)
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Paradigm Biopharma
PARA_OA_012
Interim & Final
Analysis
Interim analysis (IA) is planned after pain intensity
data are available from 50% of total planned sample
size 466 (randomised 1:1). Outcomes of IA could be:
•
•
Early conclusion of futility if an observed effect
size of 0.1 (between-group difference in means
divided by SD).
Early conclusion of efficacy if an observed effect
size of 0.39 (p-value < 0.002, O’Brien-Fleming
type 1 error spending function to control the
overall type 1 error at 0.025 1-sided.
If neither a futility or efficacy conclusion can be
reached at the IA, the trial will continue to the final
analysis with planned N=466 and require p<0.024,
1-sided for success.
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News flow & catalysts
Upcoming
Clinical
Catalysts
Event
Target Date
PARA_OA_012 – First participant dosed US and Aus
Q3 CY2025
PARA_OA_012 – 50% Recruitment of participants
2H CY2025*
PARA_OA_012 – 100% Recruitment
1H 2026*
PARA_OA_012 Interim Analysis – 50% participants reach Day 112
Mid-CY2026*
*The above is a statement of current intentions as at the date of this presentation. Investors should note that the above upcoming events are subject to funding or new circumstances.
Paradigm Biopharma
Paul Rennie
Managing Director
Email: prennie@paradigmbiopharma.com
Simon White
Director IR
Email: swhite@paradigmbiopharma.com
For more information please visit:
paradigmbiopharma.com
JUL 2025
20
References:
1. Robert H. Dworkin, Dennis C. Turk, Kathleen W. Wyrwich,, Dorcas Beaton. Interpreting the Clinical Importance of
Treatment Outcomes in Chronic Pain Clinical Trials: IMMPACT Recommendations https://www.jpain.org/issue/S15265900(07)X0083-X
2. Angst F, Aeschlimann A, Michel BA, Stucki G. Minimal clinically important rehabilitation effects in patients with
osteoarthritis of the lower extremities. Journal of Rheumatology. 2002;29(1). https://doi.org/10.3899/jrheum.151415
3. Bellamy N, Hochberg M, Tubach F, Martin-Mola E, Awada H, Bombardier C, et al. Development of multinational
definitions of minimal clinically important improvement and patient acceptable symptomatic state in osteoarthritis. Arthritis
Care Res (Hoboken). 2015;67(7). https://doi.org/10.1002/acr.22538
4. Hawker : https://doi.org/10.1002/acr.20543
5. Farrar: https://doi.org/10.1016/s0304-3959(01)00349-9
6. Salaffi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpain.2003.09.004
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